Alabama governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
6% Dem
Rep 94%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Doug Jones | 7% |
| Tommy Tuberville | 93% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Doug Jones | 5% |
| Tommy Tuberville | 95% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 7% | 10/29/2026: 7% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 7% | 10/29/2026: 5% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 93% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 95% |
Poll average
4 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+9.8
Tommy Tuberville (R)
50%
Doug Jones (D)
40.2%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Tommy Tuberville | Republican |
| Doug Jones | Democrat |
Alabama governor's race: polls over time
7 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Tommy Tuberville 50%
Doug Jones 41.3%
Ken McFeeters 7%
Will Santivasci 3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Tuberville | 50% | 7 | 10/24/2026 |
| Doug Jones | 41.3% | 6 | 10/24/2026 |
| Ken McFeeters | 7% | 1 | 4/30/2026 |
| Will Santivasci | 3% | 1 | 4/30/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blueprint Polling | 10/22–10/24 | 695 LV |
Tommy Tuberville (R)
Doug Jones (D)
|
| Cygnal Political | 10/16–10/17 | 500 LV |
Tommy Tuberville (R)
Doug Jones (D)
|
| The Alabama Poll | 10/15–10/16 | 600 LV |
Tommy Tuberville (R)
Doug Jones (D)
|
| RMG Research | 9/21–9/25 | 800 RV |
Tommy Tuberville (R)
Doug Jones (D)
|
| yes. every kid. | 7/8–7/11 | 601 LV |
Tommy Tuberville (R)
Doug Jones (D)
|
| Cygnal Political | 4/29–4/30 | 500 LV |
Tommy Tuberville (R)
Ken McFeeters (R)
Will Santivasci (R)
|
| Cygnal | 11/12–11/13 | 605 LV |
Tommy Tuberville (R)
Doug Jones (D)
|
| Quantus Insights | 10/13–10/14 | 1,050 RV |
Tommy Tuberville (R)
Ken McFeeters (R)
|