UT-02 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Blake Moore at 39%, Karianne Lisonbee at 29%, Carlton E. Bowen at 4.1%, Colton Hatch at 14%, based on 3 polls ending between 3/26/2026 and 9/24/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
UT-02 House race 2026 over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Blake Moore 39%
Karianne Lisonbee 29%
Carlton E. Bowen 4.1%
Colton Hatch 14%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Moore | 39% | 3 | 9/24/2026 |
| Karianne Lisonbee | 29% | 2 | 5/14/2026 |
| Carlton E. Bowen | 4.1% | 1 | 9/24/2026 |
| Colton Hatch | 14% | 1 | 3/26/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 3 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Blake Moore | 54.3% |
| Karianne Lisonbee | 21.5% |
| Peter Crosby | 34% |
| Colton Hatch | 14% |
| Daniel Cottam | 4.9% |
| Robert M. Moesinger | 4.9% |
| Carlton E. Bowen | 4.1% |
Individual polls (3)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/24/2026 |
Lighthouse Research
for Utah Debate Commission |
515 LV |
Blake Moore (R)
Peter Crosby (D)
Carlton E. Bowen
Daniel Cottam (L)
Robert M. Moesinger
|
| 5/14/2026 | Tarrance Group | 404 LV |
Blake Moore (R)
Karianne Lisonbee (R)
|
| 3/26/2026 | Tarrance Group | 308 LV |
Blake Moore (R)
Karianne Lisonbee (R)
Colton Hatch (R)
|