5 days 2026 midterms: Tuesday, November 3. Live results here on election night — see the projections now. How to vote Projections map
Topic

TX-38 House race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Carmen María Montiel at 3%, Jon Bonck at 22%, Larry Rubin at 3%, Michael Pratt at 8%, based on 1 polls ending between 2/10/2026 and 2/10/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

TX-38 House race 2026 over time

1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Carmen María Montiel 3% Jon Bonck 22% Larry Rubin 3% Michael Pratt 8%
View data as table
TX-38 House race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Carmen María Montiel 3% 1 2/10/2026
Jon Bonck 22% 1 2/10/2026
Larry Rubin 3% 1 2/10/2026
Michael Pratt 8% 1 2/10/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 1 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Jon Bonck22%
Shelly deZevallos10%
Michael Pratt8%
Carmen María Montiel3%
Larry Rubin3%

Individual polls (1)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
2/10/2026 University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs 800 RV
Jon Bonck (R)
22%
Shelly deZevallos (R)
10%
Michael Pratt (R)
8%
Carmen María Montiel (R)
3%
Larry Rubin (R)
3%

Accessibility options

These settings are saved in this browser only.

Text size
Display
Reading

Every chart also has a data table. See our accessibility statement.

Ad changes apply from the next page you open.