TX-23 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Brandon Herrera at 46%, Katy Padilla Stout at 46%, Tony Gonzales at 21%, Dem at 45%, based on 7 polls ending between 11/1/2025 and 10/7/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
TX-23 House race 2026 over time
7 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Brandon Herrera 46%
Katy Padilla Stout 46%
Tony Gonzales 21%
Dem 45%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Herrera | 46% | 6 | 10/7/2026 |
| Katy Padilla Stout | 46% | 3 | 10/7/2026 |
| Tony Gonzales | 21% | 3 | 2/20/2026 |
| Dem | 45% | 1 | 3/11/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 7 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Brandon Herrera | 42.2% |
| Katy Padilla Stout | 42% |
| Tony Gonzales | 31.8% |
| Rep | 47% |
| Dem | 45% |
| Francisco Canseco | 4% |
| Keith Barton | 4% |
Individual polls (7)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/7/2026 |
Normington, Petts & Associates
for House Majority PAC |
400 LV |
Brandon Herrera (R)
Katy Padilla Stout (D)
|
| 3/11/2026 |
Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC |
521 A |
Brandon Herrera (R)
Katy Padilla Stout (D)
|
| 3/11/2026 |
Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC |
521 RV |
Brandon Herrera (R)
Katy Padilla Stout (D)
|
| 3/11/2026 |
Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC |
521 RV |
Rep
Dem
|
| 2/20/2026 | Political Intelligence | 543 LV |
Brandon Herrera (R)
Tony Gonzales (R)
Francisco Canseco (R)
Keith Barton (R)
|
| 12/22/2025 | Political Intelligence | 422 LV |
Brandon Herrera (R)
Tony Gonzales (R)
|
| 11/1/2025 | Trafalgar Group | 605 LV |
Tony Gonzales (R)
Brandon Herrera (R)
|