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TN-05 House race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Chaz Molder at 41%, Charlie Hatcher at 46%, Andy Ogles at 47%, James Johnson at 1%, based on 3 polls ending between 5/13/2026 and 10/1/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

TN-05 House race 2026 over time

3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Chaz Molder 41% Charlie Hatcher 46% Andy Ogles 47% James Johnson 1%
View data as table
TN-05 House race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Chaz Molder 41% 3 10/1/2026
Charlie Hatcher 46% 2 10/1/2026
Andy Ogles 47% 1 5/13/2026
James Johnson 1% 1 8/24/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 3 matching polls
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Average result
Choice%
Chaz Molder40.7%
Charlie Hatcher47%
Andy Ogles47%
James Johnson1%
Micheál O'Leary0%

Individual polls (3)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
10/1/2026 Impact Research 552 LV
Charlie Hatcher (R)
46%
Chaz Molder (D)
41%
8/24/2026 Impact Research 500 LV
Charlie Hatcher (R)
48%
Chaz Molder (D)
40%
James Johnson (I)
1%
Micheál O'Leary (I)
0%
5/13/2026 Impact Research 558 LV
Andy Ogles (R)
47%
Chaz Molder (D)
41%

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