TN-05 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Chaz Molder at 41%, Charlie Hatcher at 46%, Andy Ogles at 47%, James Johnson at 1%, based on 3 polls ending between 5/13/2026 and 10/1/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
TN-05 House race 2026 over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Chaz Molder 41%
Charlie Hatcher 46%
Andy Ogles 47%
James Johnson 1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chaz Molder | 41% | 3 | 10/1/2026 |
| Charlie Hatcher | 46% | 2 | 10/1/2026 |
| Andy Ogles | 47% | 1 | 5/13/2026 |
| James Johnson | 1% | 1 | 8/24/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 3 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Chaz Molder | 40.7% |
| Charlie Hatcher | 47% |
| Andy Ogles | 47% |
| James Johnson | 1% |
| Micheál O'Leary | 0% |
Individual polls (3)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/1/2026 | Impact Research | 552 LV |
Charlie Hatcher (R)
Chaz Molder (D)
|
| 8/24/2026 | Impact Research | 500 LV |
Charlie Hatcher (R)
Chaz Molder (D)
James Johnson (I)
Micheál O'Leary (I)
|
| 5/13/2026 | Impact Research | 558 LV |
Andy Ogles (R)
Chaz Molder (D)
|


