2026 Texas Republican Senate race
Our 21-day average puts John Cornyn at 34%, Ken Paxton at 36%, Wesley Hunt at 26%, based on 19 polls ending between 10/8/2025 and 2/16/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
2026 Texas Republican Senate race over time
19 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
John Cornyn 34%
Ken Paxton 36%
Wesley Hunt 26%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Cornyn | 34% | 19 | 2/16/2026 |
| Ken Paxton | 36% | 19 | 2/16/2026 |
| Wesley Hunt | 26% | 13 | 2/16/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 19 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Ken Paxton | 36.3% |
| John Cornyn | 31.3% |
| Wesley Hunt | 21.9% |
Individual polls (19)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2/16/2026 | The Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin/YouGov | 350 LV |
Ken Paxton (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 1/12/2026 |
Emerson College
for Nexstar Media |
550 RV |
Ken Paxton (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 12/25/2025 |
Peak Insights
for Texans for a Conservative Majority |
600 LV |
Ken Paxton (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 12/17/2025 |
Pulse Decision Science
for Lone Star Liberty PAC |
809 LV |
Ken Paxton (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 12/4/2025 |
McLaughlin & Associates
for Standing For Texas |
800 LV |
Ken Paxton (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 12/4/2025 |
McLaughlin & Associates
for Standing For Texas |
800 LV |
John Cornyn (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
|
| 12/3/2025 | J.L. Partners | 600 LV |
John Cornyn (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
|
| 12/3/2025 | J.L. Partners | 600 LV |
John Cornyn (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 12/3/2025 | co/efficient | 1,022 LV |
John Cornyn (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 12/2/2025 |
Public Policy Polling
for Senate Majority PAC |
527 LV |
John Cornyn (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
|
| 12/2/2025 |
Public Policy Polling
for Senate Majority PAC |
527 LV |
Ken Paxton (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 11/22/2025 |
Stratus Intelligence
for Standing For Texas |
857 LV |
Ken Paxton (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
John Cornyn (R)
|
| 11/22/2025 |
Stratus Intelligence
for Standing For Texas |
857 LV |
John Cornyn (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
|
| 11/16/2025 |
Ragnar Research Partners
for Senate Leadership Fund PAC |
758 LV |
Ken Paxton (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 11/16/2025 |
Ragnar Research Partners
for Senate Leadership Fund PAC |
758 LV |
John Cornyn (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
|
| 11/5/2025 |
Stratus Intelligence
for Standing For Texas |
811 LV |
Ken Paxton (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 11/5/2025 |
Stratus Intelligence
for Standing For Texas |
811 LV |
John Cornyn (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
|
| 10/10/2025 | Hunt Research | 1,097 LV |
Ken Paxton (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|
| 10/8/2025 |
Stratus Intelligence
for Standing For Texas |
839 LV |
Ken Paxton (R)
John Cornyn (R)
Wesley Hunt (R)
|