Tennessee governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Marsha Blackburn at 44%, John Rose at 28%, Monty Fritts at 23.8%, Jerri Green at 32%, based on 17 polls ending between 1/16/2025 and 10/16/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Tennessee governor's race 2026 over time
17 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Marsha Blackburn 44%
John Rose 28%
Monty Fritts 23.8%
Jerri Green 32%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marsha Blackburn | 44% | 16 | 10/16/2026 |
| John Rose | 28% | 12 | 7/28/2026 |
| Monty Fritts | 23.8% | 8 | 7/28/2026 |
| Jerri Green | 32% | 5 | 10/16/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 17 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Marsha Blackburn | 52% |
| John Rose | 19% |
| Monty Fritts | 12.4% |
| Jerri Green | 31.2% |
| David Hatley | 15.5% |
| Lauren Pinkston | 1.5% |
| Generic Democrat | 30% |
| Independent | 8% |
Individual polls (17)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/16/2026 | Spry Strategies | 635 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
Jerri Green (D)
David Hatley (I)
Lauren Pinkston (I)
|
| 9/12/2026 |
TargetSmart
for The Progress Fund |
600 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
Jerri Green (D)
David Hatley (I)
Lauren Pinkston (I)
|
| 8/26/2026 |
Targoz Market Research
for Beacon Center of Tennessee |
1,149 RV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
Jerri Green (D)
Independent
|
| 7/28/2026 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 800 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
Monty Fritts (R)
|
| 7/25/2026 | OnMessage Inc. | 800 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
Monty Fritts (R)
|
| 6/30/2026 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 800 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
Monty Fritts (R)
|
| 6/30/2026 | McLaughlin & Associates | 600 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
Monty Fritts (R)
|
| 4/27/2026 |
Targoz Market Research
for Beacon Center |
1,157 RV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
Jerri Green (D)
|
| 3/24/2026 |
VictoryPhones
for Tennesseans for Student Success |
300 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
Monty Fritts (R)
|
| 3/17/2026 | Cygnal Political | 500 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
|
| 2/8/2026 |
VictoryPhones
for Tennesseans for Student Success |
275 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
Monty Fritts (R)
|
| 1/18/2026 |
Targoz Market Research
for Beacon Center |
559 RV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
Monty Fritts (R)
|
| 10/29/2025 |
Targoz Market Research
for Beacon Center |
545 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
Monty Fritts (R)
|
| 8/7/2025 | Quantus Insights | 600 RV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
Jerri Green (D)
|
| 8/1/2025 |
Targoz Market Research
for Beacon Center |
1,167 RV |
John Rose (R)
Generic Democrat (D)
|
| 8/1/2025 |
Targoz Market Research
for Beacon Center |
623 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
|
| 1/16/2025 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 800 LV |
Marsha Blackburn (R)
John Rose (R)
|