PA-08 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Paige Cognetti at 51.3%, Rob Bresnahan Jr. at 46.5%, Rob Bresnahan at 48%, based on 5 polls ending between 8/28/2025 and 10/22/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
PA-08 House race 2026 over time
5 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Paige Cognetti 51.3%
Rob Bresnahan Jr. 46.5%
Rob Bresnahan 48%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Cognetti | 51.3% | 5 | 10/22/2026 |
| Rob Bresnahan Jr. | 46.5% | 3 | 10/22/2026 |
| Rob Bresnahan | 48% | 2 | 10/14/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 5 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Paige Cognetti | 48.1% |
| Rob Bresnahan Jr. | 44.8% |
| Rob Bresnahan | 46.5% |
Individual polls (5)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/22/2026 |
The New York Times/Siena University
for The Philadelphia Inquirer |
402 LV |
Paige Cognetti (D)
Rob Bresnahan Jr. (R)
|
| 10/14/2026 |
Emerson College
for Poll Vault |
396 LV |
Paige Cognetti (D)
Rob Bresnahan
|
| 6/23/2026 |
Lake Research Partners
for House Majority PAC |
400 LV |
Paige Cognetti (D)
Rob Bresnahan
|
| 6/11/2026 | Impact Research | 500 LV |
Paige Cognetti (D)
Rob Bresnahan Jr. (R)
|
| 8/28/2025 |
Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC |
615 RV |
Paige Cognetti (D)
Rob Bresnahan Jr. (R)
|