New Hampshire governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Kelly Ayotte at 51%, Cinde Warmington at 40%, Jon Kiper at 31%, Stephen Villee at 3%, based on 18 polls ending between 10/13/2024 and 10/20/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
New Hampshire governor's race 2026 over time
18 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Kelly Ayotte 51%
Cinde Warmington 40%
Jon Kiper 31%
Stephen Villee 3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Ayotte | 51% | 18 | 10/20/2026 |
| Cinde Warmington | 40% | 13 | 10/20/2026 |
| Jon Kiper | 31% | 3 | 3/18/2026 |
| Stephen Villee | 3% | 2 | 10/12/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 18 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Kelly Ayotte | 48.2% |
| Cinde Warmington | 39.5% |
| Jon Kiper | 35.7% |
| Stephen Villee | 2.5% |
| Dem | 40% |
| Generic Democrat | 40% |
Individual polls (18)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/20/2026 | Saint Anselm | 1,672 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 10/12/2026 |
National Public Affairs
for God, Family, & Country PAC |
600 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
Stephen Villee (L)
|
| 10/5/2026 | YouGov | 1,520 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 9/29/2026 |
St. Anselm
for AARP |
1,042 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 9/22/2026 | The New York Times/Siena University | 613 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 9/21/2026 | University of New Hampshire | 1,418 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
Stephen Villee (L)
|
| 9/11/2026 | co/efficient | 958 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 8/24/2026 | University of New Hampshire | 1,878 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 8/18/2026 | Saint Anselm College Survey Center | 1,411 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 6/25/2026 | Saint Anselm | 1,614 RV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 6/23/2026 | University of New Hampshire | — |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 4/21/2026 | University of New Hampshire | 1,117 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 3/18/2026 | Saint Anselm | 1,491 RV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Jon Kiper (D)
|
| 3/18/2026 | Saint Anselm | 1,491 RV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Cinde Warmington (D)
|
| 1/29/2026 | yes. every kid. | 563 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Jon Kiper (D)
|
| 1/19/2026 | University of New Hampshire | 2,031 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Jon Kiper (D)
|
| 10/13/2025 | co/efficient | 1,034 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Generic Democrat (D)
|
| 10/13/2024 | co/efficient | 1,034 LV |
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Dem
|