Massachusetts Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Ed Markey at 58%, John Deaton at 30.5%, Seth Moulton at 37.1%, Joe Tache at 2%, based on 31 polls ending between 11/1/2024 and 10/17/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Massachusetts Senate race 2026 over time
31 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Ed Markey 58%
John Deaton 30.5%
Seth Moulton 37.1%
Joe Tache 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Markey | 58% | 23 | 10/17/2026 |
| John Deaton | 30.5% | 20 | 10/17/2026 |
| Seth Moulton | 37.1% | 15 | 8/29/2026 |
| Joe Tache | 2% | 6 | 10/17/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 31 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Ed Markey | 49.6% |
| John Deaton | 28.5% |
| Seth Moulton | 40.5% |
| Joe Tache | 6.3% |
| Shriya Ayyadurai | 3% |
| Alex Rikleen | 2.9% |
| Charles D. Baker | 36.5% |
| Ayanna Pressley | 30.7% |
Individual polls (31)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/29/2025 |
YouGov
for UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV |
416 LV |
Seth Moulton (D)
Ayanna Pressley (D)
Michelle Wu (D)
Joseph P. Kennedy III (D)
Alex Rikleen (D)
Jake Auchincloss (D)
|
| 10/26/2025 | Data for Progress | 652 LV |
Ed Markey (D)
Seth Moulton (D)
|
| 9/25/2025 |
Advantage Inc.
for Fiscal Alliance Foundation |
278 LV |
Ayanna Pressley (D)
Ed Markey (D)
|
| 3/4/2025 |
SurveyUSA
for MA Responsible Alliance |
775 RV |
Ed Markey (D)
John Deaton (R)
|
| 2/20/2025 |
YouGov
for UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV |
700 A |
Ed Markey (D)
Charles D. Baker (R)
|
| 11/1/2024 | MassINC Polling Group | 582 LV |
Charles D. Baker (R)
Ed Markey (D)
|