Maryland governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Wes Moore at 51%, Dan Cox at 24%, Generic Republican at 28%, Andy Ellis at 3%, based on 5 polls ending between 10/10/2025 and 9/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Maryland governor's race 2026 over time
5 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Wes Moore 51%
Dan Cox 24%
Generic Republican 28%
Andy Ellis 3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Moore | 51% | 5 | 9/27/2026 |
| Dan Cox | 24% | 2 | 9/27/2026 |
| Generic Republican | 28% | 2 | 1/6/2026 |
| Andy Ellis | 3% | 1 | 9/27/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 5 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Wes Moore | 50.6% |
| Generic Republican | 28.5% |
| Dan Cox | 27.5% |
| Larry Hogan | 37% |
| Generic Candidate | 12% |
| Andy Ellis | 3% |
| Cathy White | 3% |
Individual polls (5)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/27/2026 | University of Maryland Baltimore County Institute of Politics | 776 LV |
Wes Moore (D)
Dan Cox (R)
Andy Ellis (G)
Cathy White (O)
|
| 8/3/2026 |
Zenith Research
for Perry Jacobson, Blended Public Affairs |
800 LV |
Wes Moore (D)
Dan Cox (R)
|
| 1/6/2026 | Gonzales Research | 808 LV |
Wes Moore (D)
Generic Republican (R)
|
| 10/25/2025 | University of Maryland Baltimore County | 757 RV |
Wes Moore (D)
Generic Republican (R)
Generic Candidate (O)
|
| 10/10/2025 |
OpinionWorks
for Baltimore Banner | Robert W. Deutsch Foundation |
928 RV |
Wes Moore (D)
Larry Hogan (R)
|