Louisiana Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts John Fleming at 27.1%, Bill Cassidy at 20.8%, Julia Letlow at 48%, Mark Spencer at 1.6%, based on 28 polls ending between 8/14/2024 and 9/19/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Louisiana Senate race 2026 over time
28 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
John Fleming 27.1%
Bill Cassidy 20.8%
Julia Letlow 48%
Mark Spencer 1.6%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Fleming | 27.1% | 26 | 5/19/2026 |
| Bill Cassidy | 20.8% | 25 | 5/11/2026 |
| Julia Letlow | 48% | 21 | 9/19/2026 |
| Mark Spencer | 1.6% | 9 | 5/11/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 28 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| John Fleming | 23.7% |
| Bill Cassidy | 25.9% |
| Julia Letlow | 30% |
| Mark Spencer | 2.1% |
| Blake Miguez | 5.5% |
| Eric Skrmetta | 1.7% |
| Jamie Davis | 40.5% |
| Clay Higgins | 33.3% |
Individual polls (28)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3/10/2025 | Trafalgar Group | 1,068 LV |
Clay Higgins (R)
Bill Cassidy (R)
Julia Letlow (R)
John Fleming (R)
Blake Miguez (R)
|
| 2/26/2025 | JMC Enterprises | 600 LV |
John Fleming (R)
Bill Cassidy (R)
Blake Miguez (R)
Eric Skrmetta (R)
|
| 8/14/2024 | Trafalgar Group | 1,062 LV |
Clay Higgins (R)
Bill Cassidy (R)
Garret Graves (R)
John Fleming (R)
Eric Skrmetta (R)
|