5 days 2026 midterms: Tuesday, November 3. Live results here on election night — see the projections now. How to vote Projections map
Topic

IA-01 House race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Christina Bohannan at 40%, Mariannette Miller-Meeks at 35%, Michael Bridgford at 11%, based on 2 polls ending between 6/19/2025 and 7/16/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

IA-01 House race 2026 over time

2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Christina Bohannan 40% Mariannette Miller-Meeks 35% Michael Bridgford 11%
View data as table
IA-01 House race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Christina Bohannan 40% 2 7/16/2026
Mariannette Miller-Meeks 35% 2 7/16/2026
Michael Bridgford 11% 1 7/16/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 2 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Christina Bohannan41.5%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks37%
Michael Bridgford11%

Individual polls (2)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
7/16/2026 The Bullfinch Group
for The Independent Center
705 LV
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
35%
Christina Bohannan (D)
40%
Michael Bridgford (I)
11%
6/19/2025 Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC
555 A
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
39%
Christina Bohannan (D)
43%

Accessibility options

These settings are saved in this browser only.

Text size
Display
Reading

Every chart also has a data table. See our accessibility statement.

Ad changes apply from the next page you open.