FL-14 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Kevin Steele at 32.7%, Mike Beltran at 43%, Bea Valenti at 9.9%, Ergin Tek at 2.3%, based on 5 polls ending between 7/15/2026 and 10/14/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
FL-14 House race 2026 over time
5 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Kevin Steele 32.7%
Mike Beltran 43%
Bea Valenti 9.9%
Ergin Tek 2.3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Steele | 32.7% | 4 | 8/8/2026 |
| Mike Beltran | 43% | 4 | 10/14/2026 |
| Bea Valenti | 9.9% | 3 | 8/8/2026 |
| Ergin Tek | 2.3% | 3 | 8/8/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 5 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Mike Beltran | 33.7% |
| Kevin Steele | 30.5% |
| Bea Valenti | 7.1% |
| Rocky Rochford | 3% |
| John Peters | 1.9% |
| Ergin Tek | 1.7% |
| Gavriel Soriano | 0.9% |
| Kathy Castor | 47.1% |
Individual polls (5)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/14/2026 |
Emerson College
for Poll Vault |
315 LV |
Kathy Castor (D)
Mike Beltran (R)
|
| 8/8/2026 | Catalyst | 556 LV |
Mike Beltran (R)
Kevin Steele (R)
Bea Valenti (R)
Rocky Rochford (R)
Ergin Tek (R)
John Peters (R)
Michael Marcel (R)
Gavriel Soriano (R)
|
| 8/6/2026 | Victory Insights | — LV |
Kevin Steele (R)
Mike Beltran (R)
Bea Valenti (R)
Ergin Tek (R)
Gavriel Soriano (R)
John Peters (R)
Rocky Rochford (R)
|
| 7/15/2026 |
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics |
376 LV |
Mike Beltran (R)
Kevin Steele (R)
John Peters (R)
Bea Valenti (R)
Rocky Rochford (R)
Ergin Tek (R)
Michael Marcel (R)
Gavriel Soriano (R)
|
| 7/15/2026 |
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics |
469 LV |
Kathy Castor (D)
Kevin Steele (R)
|