FL-09 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Dan Green at 44%, Darren Soto at 44%, Ben Butler at 13.8%, Jorge Martinez at 14.2%, based on 3 polls ending between 8/6/2026 and 10/15/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
FL-09 House race 2026 over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Dan Green 44%
Darren Soto 44%
Ben Butler 13.8%
Jorge Martinez 14.2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Green | 44% | 3 | 10/15/2026 |
| Darren Soto | 44% | 2 | 10/15/2026 |
| Ben Butler | 13.8% | 1 | 8/6/2026 |
| Jorge Martinez | 14.2% | 1 | 8/6/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 3 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Dan Green | 32.2% |
| Darren Soto | 42.5% |
| Jorge Martinez | 14.2% |
| Ben Butler | 13.8% |
| Thomas Chalifoux | 13.8% |
| Justin Story | 2.5% |
| Marcus Carter | 1.8% |
| Steve Rance | 1.4% |
Individual polls (3)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/15/2026 | SEA Polling | — LV |
Dan Green (R)
Darren Soto (D)
|
| 8/30/2026 | SEA Polling | 400 LV |
Dan Green (R)
Darren Soto (D)
|
| 8/6/2026 | Victory Insights | — LV |
Jorge Martinez (R)
Ben Butler (R)
Thomas Chalifoux (R)
Dan Green (R)
Justin Story (R)
Marcus Carter (R)
Steve Rance (R)
|