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FL-02 House race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Keith Gross at 26.9%, Evan Power at 11.5%, Audie Rowell at 2.8%, Austin Rogers at 23.9%, based on 9 polls ending between 1/24/2026 and 8/11/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

FL-02 House race 2026 over time

9 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Keith Gross 26.9% Evan Power 11.5% Audie Rowell 2.8% Austin Rogers 23.9%
View data as table
FL-02 House race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Keith Gross 26.9% 9 8/11/2026
Evan Power 11.5% 8 8/11/2026
Audie Rowell 2.8% 7 8/11/2026
Austin Rogers 23.9% 7 8/11/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 9 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Keith Gross26%
Evan Power11.7%
Austin Rogers17.8%
Jim Norton8.3%
Luke Murphy5.8%
Audie Rowell2.3%
Lee Jones0.6%
Nicholas Lewis1%

Individual polls (9)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
8/11/2026 co/efficient
for Panhandle Patriots PAC
603 LV
Austin Rogers (R)
25%
Evan Power (R)
15%
Luke Murphy (R)
13%
Jim Norton (R)
8%
Keith Gross (R)
8%
Audie Rowell (R)
4%
Lee Jones (R)
1%
8/6/2026 Victory Insights — LV
Austin Rogers (R)
21.4%
Keith Gross (R)
15.8%
Evan Power (R)
10.8%
Jim Norton (R)
9.9%
Luke Murphy (R)
7.9%
Audie Rowell (R)
1%
Lee Jones (R)
0.4%
8/3/2026 Cygnal Political 400 LV
Keith Gross (R)
35%
Austin Rogers (R)
28%
Jim Norton (R)
11%
Evan Power (R)
11%
Luke Murphy (R)
7%
Audie Rowell (R)
4%
Nicholas Lewis (R)
2%
Lee Jones (R)
1%
7/31/2026 Guidant Polling and Strategy 400 LV
Austin Rogers (R)
21%
Keith Gross (R)
17%
Evan Power (R)
9%
Jim Norton (R)
8%
Luke Murphy (R)
5%
Audie Rowell (R)
2%
Lee Jones (R)
1%
Nicholas Lewis (R)
0%
7/26/2026 Patriot Polling 922 LV
Keith Gross (R)
58.5%
Nicholas Zateslo (D)
39.1%
7/16/2026 co/efficient
for Panhandle Patriots PAC
624 LV
Keith Gross (R)
22%
Austin Rogers (R)
19%
Jim Norton (R)
7%
Evan Power (R)
7%
Luke Murphy (R)
4%
Audie Rowell (R)
2%
Nicholas Lewis (R)
1%
Lee Jones (R)
1%
6/24/2026 co/efficient
for Panhandle Patriots PAC
692 LV
Keith Gross (R)
27%
Austin Rogers (R)
7%
Jim Norton (R)
5%
Evan Power (R)
5%
Luke Murphy (R)
3%
Audie Rowell (R)
2%
Nicholas Lewis (R)
1%
Lee Jones (R)
0%
3/11/2026 Guidant Polling and Strategy 400 LV
Keith Gross (R)
16%
Jim Norton (R)
9%
Evan Power (R)
4%
Austin Rogers (R)
3%
Audie Rowell (R)
1%
Luke Murphy (R)
1%
Nicholas Lewis (R)
1%
Lee Jones (R)
0%
1/24/2026 Patriot Polling 812 LV
Keith Gross (R)
34.4%
Evan Power (R)
31.7%

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