CA-06 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Richard Pan at 36.7%, Kevin Kiley at 36.5%, Lauren Babb Tomlinson at 11%, Martha Guerrero at 9%, based on 4 polls ending between 2/19/2026 and 9/6/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
CA-06 House race 2026 over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Richard Pan 36.7%
Kevin Kiley 36.5%
Lauren Babb Tomlinson 11%
Martha Guerrero 9%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Pan | 36.7% | 4 | 9/6/2026 |
| Kevin Kiley | 36.5% | 3 | 9/6/2026 |
| Lauren Babb Tomlinson | 11% | 2 | 5/6/2026 |
| Martha Guerrero | 9% | 2 | 5/6/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 4 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Richard Pan | 26.9% |
| Kevin Kiley | 35.8% |
| Lauren Babb Tomlinson | 10.5% |
| Thien Ho | 10% |
| Martha Guerrero | 9% |
| Tyler Vandenberg | 2.5% |
| Christine Bish | 15% |
| Raymond Riehle | 15% |
Individual polls (4)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 |
The Bullfinch Group
for Independent Leadership Council |
927 LV |
Richard Pan (D)
Kevin Kiley (I)
|
| 7/16/2026 |
The Bullfinch Group
for The Independent Center |
741 LV |
Richard Pan (D)
Kevin Kiley (I)
|
| 5/6/2026 |
EMC Research
for Congressional Black Caucus | Vote Mama | Voter Protection Project |
400 LV |
Kevin Kiley (I)
Richard Pan (D)
Thien Ho (D)
Lauren Babb Tomlinson (D)
Martha Guerrero (D)
Michael Stansfield (R)
Tyler Vandenberg (D)
|
| 2/19/2026 |
Normington, Petts & Associates
for Voter Protection Project |
400 LV |
Raymond Riehle (R)
Christine Bish (R)
Richard Pan (D)
Lauren Babb Tomlinson (D)
Martha Guerrero (D)
Thien Ho (D)
Tyler Vandenberg (D)
|