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AZ-02 House race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Eli Crane at 48%, Jonathan Nez at 50%, Curtis Goodwin at 7%, based on 3 polls ending between 6/15/2026 and 10/14/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

AZ-02 House race 2026 over time

3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Eli Crane 48% Jonathan Nez 50% Curtis Goodwin 7%
View data as table
AZ-02 House race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Eli Crane 48% 3 10/14/2026
Jonathan Nez 50% 3 10/14/2026
Curtis Goodwin 7% 1 6/15/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 3 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Eli Crane46%
Jonathan Nez45%
Curtis Goodwin7%

Individual polls (3)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
10/14/2026 Emerson College
for Poll Vault
345 LV
Eli Crane (R)
48%
Jonathan Nez (D)
50%
8/24/2026 GBAO 500 LV
Eli Crane (R)
46%
Jonathan Nez (D)
44%
6/15/2026 GBAO 500 LV
Eli Crane (R)
44%
Jonathan Nez (D)
41%
Curtis Goodwin (L)
7%

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