Arkansas Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Hallie Shoffner at 40.5%, Tom Cotton at 50.5%, Jeff Wadlin at 4.5%, based on 6 polls ending between 2/9/2026 and 10/13/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Arkansas Senate race 2026 over time
6 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Hallie Shoffner 40.5%
Tom Cotton 50.5%
Jeff Wadlin 4.5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Shoffner | 40.5% | 6 | 10/13/2026 |
| Tom Cotton | 50.5% | 6 | 10/13/2026 |
| Jeff Wadlin | 4.5% | 4 | 10/13/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 6 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Tom Cotton | 50% |
| Hallie Shoffner | 40.4% |
| Jeff Wadlin | 4% |
Individual polls (6)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/13/2026 |
Hendrix College
for Talk Business & Politics |
709 LV |
Tom Cotton (R)
Hallie Shoffner (D)
Jeff Wadlin (L)
|
| 10/4/2026 | Grayhouse | 550 LV |
Hallie Shoffner (D)
Tom Cotton (R)
Jeff Wadlin (L)
|
| 8/18/2026 | J.L. Partners | 803 LV |
Tom Cotton (R)
Hallie Shoffner (D)
Jeff Wadlin (L)
|
| 8/12/2026 |
Hendrix College
for Talk Business & Politics |
1,217 LV |
Hallie Shoffner (D)
Tom Cotton (R)
Jeff Wadlin (L)
|
| 7/25/2026 | 2040 Strategy Group | 586 LV |
Tom Cotton (R)
Hallie Shoffner (D)
|
| 2/9/2026 |
GrayHouse
for America One Policies |
550 LV |
Tom Cotton (R)
Hallie Shoffner (D)
|