Nebraska Senate race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
<1% Dem
Rep 70%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Cindy Burbank | <1% |
| Pete Ricketts | 71% | |
| Dan Osborn | 31% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Democrat | <1% |
| Pete Ricketts | 72% | |
| Independent | 29% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/5/2026: 1% | 10/29/2026: <1% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 4% | 10/29/2026: <1% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 69% | 10/29/2026: 71% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 66% | 10/29/2026: 72% |
Poll average
8 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Pete Ricketts (R)
46.6%
Dan Osborn (I)
46.1%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Pete Ricketts | Republican |
| Mike Marvin | Other |
| Robin Richards | Other |
| Chuck Conboy | Other |
| Dan Osborn | Independent |
Nebraska Senate race: polls over time
15 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Pete Ricketts 47%
Dan Osborn 47%
Chuck Conboy 1%
Robin Richards 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Ricketts | 47% | 15 | 10/23/2026 |
| Dan Osborn | 47% | 14 | 10/23/2026 |
| Chuck Conboy | 1% | 2 | 10/23/2026 |
| Robin Richards | 2% | 2 | 10/23/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights | 10/16–10/23 | 407 LV |
Pete Ricketts (R)
Dan Osborn (I)
Robin Richards (O)
Chuck Conboy (O)
|
| GBAO | 10/18–10/22 | 800 LV |
Dan Osborn (I)
Pete Ricketts (R)
|
| Impact Research | 10/14–10/20 | 600 LV |
Pete Ricketts (R)
Dan Osborn (I)
|
| Concord Public Opinion Partners | 10/15–10/18 | 500 LV |
Dan Osborn (I)
Pete Ricketts (R)
|
| National Public Affairs | 10/15–10/18 | 598 LV |
Pete Ricketts (R)
Dan Osborn (I)
|
| National Public Affairs | 10/2–10/5 | 800 LV |
Pete Ricketts (R)
Dan Osborn (I)
|
| YouGov | 9/24–10/3 | 1,808 LV |
Dan Osborn (I)
Pete Ricketts (R)
|
| co/efficient | 9/28–9/30 | 1,113 LV |
Pete Ricketts (R)
Dan Osborn (I)
Mike Marvin (O)
Robin Richards (O)
Chuck Conboy (O)
|
| SurveyUSA | 9/8–9/13 | 503 LV |
Dan Osborn (I)
Pete Ricketts (R)
|
| GBAO Strategies | 9/3–9/8 | 800 LV |
Pete Ricketts (R)
Dan Osborn (I)
|