Mississippi Senate race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
13% Dem
Rep 87%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Scott Colom | 12% |
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | 88% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Scott Colom | 14% |
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | 86% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 12% | 10/28/2026: 12% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 15% | 10/28/2026: 14% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 87% | 10/28/2026: 88% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 87% | 10/28/2026: 86% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+3.5
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
47.5%
Scott Colom (D)
44%
Ty Pinkins (I)
6%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Scott Colom | Democrat |
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | Republican |
| Ty Pinkins | Independent |
Mississippi Senate race: polls over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Cindy Hyde-Smith 47.5%
Scott Colom 44%
Ty Pinkins 6%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | 47.5% | 4 | 10/22/2026 |
| Scott Colom | 44% | 4 | 10/22/2026 |
| Ty Pinkins | 6% | 1 | 10/22/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | 10/21–10/22 | 842 LV |
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Scott Colom (D)
Ty Pinkins (I)
|
| Wedgewood Polls | 10/12–10/14 | 511 LV |
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Scott Colom (D)
|
| Data for Progress | 8/5–8/15 | 1,018 LV |
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Scott Colom (D)
|
| Impact Research | 4/8–4/12 | 500 LV |
Scott Colom (D)
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
|
| Impact Research | 6/18–6/22 | 500 LV |
Generic Candidate (O)
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
|