Georgia Senate race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
96% Dem
Rep 4%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Jon Ossoff | 96% |
| Mike Collins | 5% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Jon Ossoff | 96% |
| Mike Collins | 4% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 82% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 83% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 17% | 10/29/2026: 5% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 16% | 10/29/2026: 4% |
Poll average
8 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+9.3
Jon Ossoff (D)
52.5%
Mike Collins (R)
43.2%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | Democrat |
| Mike Collins | Republican |
Georgia Senate race: polls over time
29 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Mike Collins 43.2%
Jon Ossoff 52.5%
Derek Dooley 32.5%
Buddy Carter 17.4%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Collins | 43.2% | 27 | 10/23/2026 |
| Jon Ossoff | 52.5% | 19 | 10/23/2026 |
| Derek Dooley | 32.5% | 11 | 5/27/2026 |
| Buddy Carter | 17.4% | 10 | 5/17/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights | 10/16–10/23 | 508 LV |
Jon Ossoff (D)
Mike Collins (R)
Allen Buckley (I)
|
| ActiVote | 10/6–10/20 | 400 LV |
Jon Ossoff (D)
Mike Collins (R)
|
| Quantus Insights | 10/15–10/17 | 755 LV |
Jon Ossoff (D)
Mike Collins (R)
|
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs | 10/7–10/15 | 1,000 LV |
Jon Ossoff (D)
Mike Collins (R)
|
| Trafalgar Group | 10/7–10/9 | 1,101 LV |
Jon Ossoff (D)
Mike Collins (R)
|
| Wedgewood Polls | 10/2–10/3 | 600 LV |
Jon Ossoff (D)
Mike Collins (R)
|
| Big Data Poll | 9/21–9/23 | 678 LV |
Jon Ossoff (D)
Mike Collins (R)
|
| InsiderAdvantage | 9/22–9/23 | 1,200 LV |
Jon Ossoff (D)
Mike Collins (R)
|
| YouGov | 9/15–9/18 | 3,071 LV |
Jon Ossoff (D)
Mike Collins (R)
|
| Quantus Insights | 9/14–9/16 | 645 LV |
Jon Ossoff (D)
Mike Collins (R)
|