WY-01 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
3% Dem
Rep 97%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Lisa Kinney | 3% |
| Chuck Gray | 97% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 1% | 10/28/2026: 3% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 95% | 10/28/2026: 97% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Chuck Gray (R)
21%
Reid Rasner (R)
14%
Steve Friess (R)
10%
Jillian Balow (R)
8%
Bo Biteman (R)
7%
Kevin Christensen (R)
5%
Frank Chapman (R)
1%
David Giralt (R)
0%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Chuck Gray | Republican |
| Lisa F. Kinney | Democrat |
WY-01 House race: polls over time
2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Bo Biteman 7%
Chuck Gray 21%
David Giralt 0%
Jillian Balow 8%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Biteman | 7% | 2 | 5/16/2026 |
| Chuck Gray | 21% | 2 | 5/16/2026 |
| David Giralt | 0% | 2 | 5/16/2026 |
| Jillian Balow | 8% | 2 | 5/16/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 5/13–5/16 | 400 LV |
Chuck Gray (R)
Reid Rasner (R)
Steve Friess (R)
Jillian Balow (R)
Bo Biteman (R)
Kevin Christensen (R)
Frank Chapman (R)
David Giralt (R)
|
| Peak Insights | 3/21–3/22 | 400 LV |
Reid Rasner (R)
Chuck Gray (R)
Jillian Balow (R)
Bo Biteman (R)
Kevin Christensen (R)
David Giralt (R)
Gavin Solomon (R)
|