WI-06 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
8% Dem
Rep 92%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Brad Smith | 8% |
| Glenn Grothman | 92% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 16% | 10/28/2026: 8% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 82% | 10/28/2026: 92% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Glenn Grothman (R)
41.7%
Michael Thurow (I)
37.7%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Glenn Grothman | Republican |
| Brad Smith | Democrat |
WI-06 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Glenn Grothman 41.7%
Michael Thurow 37.7%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Grothman | 41.7% | 1 | 3/20/2026 |
| Michael Thurow | 37.7% | 1 | 3/20/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | 3/17–3/20 | 640 LV |
Glenn Grothman (R)
Michael Thurow (I)
|