WI-01 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
46% Dem
Rep 54%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Mitchell Berman | 45% |
| Bryan Steil | 53% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Mitchell Berman | 47% |
| Bryan Steil | 53% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/6/2026: 33% | 10/28/2026: 45% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 35% | 10/28/2026: 47% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/3/2026: 65% | 10/28/2026: 53% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 64% | 10/28/2026: 53% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+1.0
Brian Steil
48%
Mitchell Berman (D)
48%
Bryan Steil (R)
47%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Bryan Steil | Republican |
| Mitchell Berman | Democrat |
WI-01 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Mitchell Berman 48%
Bryan Steil 47%
Brian Steil 48%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Berman | 48% | 3 | 10/1/2026 |
| Bryan Steil | 47% | 2 | 10/1/2026 |
| Brian Steil | 48% | 1 | 9/23/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research | 9/28–10/1 | 500 LV |
Bryan Steil (R)
Mitchell Berman (D)
|
| DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 9/21–9/23 | 495 LV |
Brian Steil
Mitchell Berman (D)
|
| Ragnar Research Partners | 3/14–3/16 | 400 LV |
Bryan Steil (R)
Mitchell Berman (D)
|