VT-01 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Becca Balint | 98% |
| Gerald Malloy | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 94% | 10/29/2026: 98% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 6% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+26.3
Becca Balint (D)
56.5%
Gerald Malloy (R)
30.1%
Suzanne Seymour (I)
1.4%
Adam Ortiz (I)
0.7%
Ryan Walton (I)
0.3%
Phoenix Altair (I)
0.1%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Phoenix K. Altair | Independent |
| Becca Balint | Democrat |
| Gerald Malloy | Republican |
| Adam Ortiz | Independent |
| Suzanne "Suz" Seymour | Independent |
| Ryan P. Walton | Independent |
| Write-in | Other |
VT-01 House race: polls over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Becca Balint 56.5%
Gerald Malloy 30.1%
Adam Ortiz 0.7%
Phoenix Altair 0.1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Becca Balint | 56.5% | 4 | 9/21/2026 |
| Gerald Malloy | 30.1% | 4 | 9/21/2026 |
| Adam Ortiz | 0.7% | 3 | 9/21/2026 |
| Phoenix Altair | 0.1% | 2 | 9/21/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braun Research | 9/10–9/21 | 732 LV |
Becca Balint (D)
Gerald Malloy (R)
Suzanne Seymour (I)
Adam Ortiz (I)
Ryan Walton (I)
Phoenix Altair (I)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 9/17–9/21 | 835 LV |
Becca Balint (D)
Gerald Malloy (R)
Adam Ortiz (I)
Phoenix Altair (I)
Suzanne Seymour (I)
Ryan Walton (I)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 7/15–7/20 | 954 LV |
Becca Balint (D)
Gerald Malloy (R)
Adam Ortiz (I)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 6/18–6/23 | 237 LV |
Becca Balint (D)
Gerald Malloy (R)
|