TX-34 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
88% Dem
Rep 12%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Vicente Gonzalez | 89% |
| Eric Flores | 12% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Vicente Gonzalez | 88% |
| Eric Flores | 12% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 65% | 10/29/2026: 89% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 68% | 10/29/2026: 88% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 34% | 10/29/2026: 12% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 34% | 10/29/2026: 12% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+7.0
Vicente Gonzalez (D)
50%
Eric Flores (R)
43%
Eddie Espinoza (G)
2%
Chris Royal (L)
1%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Vicente Gonzalez | Democrat |
| Eric Flores | Republican |
| Eddie Espinoza | Green |
| Chris Royal | Libertarian |
TX-34 House race: polls over time
5 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Eric Flores 43%
Vicente Gonzalez 50%
Chris Royal 1%
Eddie Espinoza 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Flores | 43% | 5 | 10/19/2026 |
| Vicente Gonzalez | 50% | 5 | 10/19/2026 |
| Chris Royal | 1% | 3 | 10/19/2026 |
| Eddie Espinoza | 2% | 3 | 10/19/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 10/14–10/19 | 626 LV |
Vicente Gonzalez (D)
Eric Flores (R)
Eddie Espinoza (G)
Chris Royal (L)
|
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 8/18–8/22 | 700 LV |
Vicente Gonzalez (D)
Eric Flores (R)
Eddie Espinoza (G)
Chris Royal (L)
|
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 7/27–7/30 | 700 LV |
Vicente Gonzalez (D)
Eric Flores (R)
Eddie Espinoza (G)
Chris Royal (L)
|
| Ragnar Research Partners | 6/14–6/16 | 400 LV |
Eric Flores (R)
Vicente Gonzalez (D)
|
| co/efficient | 4/25–4/29 | 777 LV |
Eric Flores (R)
Vicente Gonzalez (D)
|
| 1892 Polling | 8/19–8/21 | 400 LV |
Mayra Flores (R)
Eric Flores (R)
Bam Morales (R)
Keith Allen (R)
Josh Cortez (R)
|