TX-29 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
97% Dem
Rep 3%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Sylvia Garcia | 96% |
| Martha Fierro | 3% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 94% | 10/28/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 6% | 10/28/2026: 3% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Sylvia Garcia (D)
46%
Jarvis Johnson (D)
27%
Robert Slater (D)
2%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Martha Fierro | Republican |
| Sylvia Garcia | Democrat |
TX-29 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Jarvis Johnson 27%
Robert Slater 2%
Sylvia Garcia 46%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Johnson | 27% | 1 | 2/10/2026 |
| Robert Slater | 2% | 1 | 2/10/2026 |
| Sylvia Garcia | 46% | 1 | 2/10/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs | 2/3–2/10 | 500 LV |
Sylvia Garcia (D)
Jarvis Johnson (D)
Robert Slater (D)
|