TX-10 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
9% Dem
Rep 91%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Caitlin Rourk | 9% |
| Chris Gober | 91% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 16% | 10/28/2026: 9% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 83% | 10/28/2026: 91% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+7.0
Chris Gober (R)
48%
Caitlin Rourk (D)
41%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Caitlin Rourk | Democrat |
| Chris Gober | Republican |
TX-10 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Caitlin Rourk 41%
Chris Gober 48%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Rourk | 41% | 1 | 9/22/2026 |
| Chris Gober | 48% | 1 | 9/22/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | 9/18–9/22 | 613 LV |
Chris Gober (R)
Caitlin Rourk (D)
|