SC-07 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
4% Dem
Rep 96%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | John Vincent | 4% |
| Russell Fry | 95% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 10% | 10/29/2026: 4% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 90% | 10/29/2026: 95% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+4.4
Russell Fry (R)
41.1%
John Vincent (D)
36.7%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Russell Fry | Republican |
| John Vincent | Democrat |
SC-07 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
John Vincent 36.7%
Russell Fry 41.1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Vincent | 36.7% | 1 | 7/28/2026 |
| Russell Fry | 41.1% | 1 | 7/28/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blueprint Polling | 7/27–7/28 | 557 LV |
Russell Fry (R)
John Vincent (D)
|