RI-01 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
97% Dem
Rep 3%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Gabe Amo | 96% |
| Kellie Keenan | 3% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 92% | 10/28/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 6% | 10/28/2026: 3% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+23.5
Gabe Amo (D)
53%
Kellie Keenan (R)
29.4%
Pedro DeSouza (I)
6.1%
Pedro Soares DeSouza
4%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Amo | Democrat |
| Kellie Keenan | Republican |
| Pedro DeSouza | Independent |
RI-01 House race: polls over time
2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Gabe Amo 53%
Kellie Keenan 29.4%
Pedro DeSouza 6.1%
Pedro Soares DeSouza 4%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Amo | 53% | 2 | 10/11/2026 |
| Kellie Keenan | 29.4% | 2 | 10/11/2026 |
| Pedro DeSouza | 6.1% | 1 | 10/11/2026 |
| Pedro Soares DeSouza | 4% | 1 | 10/8/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 10/8–10/11 | 394 LV |
Gabe Amo (D)
Kellie Keenan (R)
Pedro DeSouza (I)
|
| Embold Research | 10/5–10/8 | 363 LV |
Gabe Amo (D)
Kellie Keenan (R)
Pedro Soares DeSouza
|