PA-16 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
5% Dem
Rep 95%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Justin Wagner | 5% |
| Mike Kelly | 95% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 14% | 10/28/2026: 5% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 84% | 10/28/2026: 95% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Justin Wagner | Democrat |
| Mike Kelly | Republican |