PA-03 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Chris Rabb | 97% |
| Republican Party | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 94% | 10/28/2026: 97% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 6% | 10/28/2026: 2% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Ala Stanford (D)
28%
Chris Rabb (D)
23%
Sharif Street (D)
16%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Chris Rabb | Democrat |
| Dennis Mahoney | Other |
PA-03 House race: polls over time
2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Ala Stanford 28%
Chris Rabb 23%
Sharif Street 16%
David Oxman 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ala Stanford | 28% | 2 | 4/2/2026 |
| Chris Rabb | 23% | 2 | 4/2/2026 |
| Sharif Street | 16% | 2 | 4/2/2026 |
| David Oxman | 2% | 1 | 11/20/2025 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | 4/1–4/2 | 616 LV |
Ala Stanford (D)
Chris Rabb (D)
Sharif Street (D)
|
| Lake Research Partners | 11/17–11/20 | 500 LV |
Sharif Street (D)
Chris Rabb (D)
Ala Stanford (D)
Morgan Cephas (D)
David Oxman (D)
Karl Morris (D)
Pablo McConnie-Saad (D)
|
| brilliant corners Research & Strategies | 8/6–8/12 | — LV |
Sharif Street (D)
Ala Stanford (D)
Isaiah Thomas (D)
Chris Rabb (D)
Katherine Gilmore Richardson (D)
|