OK-05 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
16% Dem
Rep 84%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Jena Nelson | 16% |
| Stephanie Bice | 83% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 12% | 10/28/2026: 16% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 84% | 10/28/2026: 83% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+5.0
Stephanie Bice (R)
48%
Jena Nelson (D)
43%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Stephanie Bice | Republican |
| Jena Nelson | Democrat |
| Robert P. Henri | Independent |
| Austin Nieves | Independent |
OK-05 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Jena Nelson 43%
Stephanie Bice 48%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jena Nelson | 43% | 1 | 9/20/2026 |
| Stephanie Bice | 48% | 1 | 9/20/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| GBAO | 9/17–9/20 | 500 LV |
Stephanie Bice (R)
Jena Nelson (D)
|