OH-10 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
28% Dem
Rep 72%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Kristina Knickerbocker | 28% |
| Mike Turner | 71% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 22% | 10/29/2026: 28% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 68% | 10/29/2026: 71% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+3.0
Kristina Knickerbocker (D)
47%
Mike Turner (R)
44%
Thomas McMasters (L)
4%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Kristina Knickerbocker | Democrat |
| Thomas F. McMasters | Libertarian |
| Mike Turner | Republican |
OH-10 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Kristina Knickerbocker 47%
Mike Turner 44%
Thomas McMasters 4%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kristina Knickerbocker | 47% | 3 | 10/13/2026 |
| Mike Turner | 44% | 3 | 10/13/2026 |
| Thomas McMasters | 4% | 2 | 10/13/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 10/12–10/13 | 535 LV |
Mike Turner (R)
Kristina Knickerbocker (D)
Thomas McMasters (L)
|
| Global Strategy Group | 7/20–7/23 | 700 LV |
Mike Turner (R)
Kristina Knickerbocker (D)
Thomas McMasters (L)
|
| FM3 Research | 7/6–7/12 | — LV |
Mike Turner (R)
Kristina Knickerbocker (D)
|