NY-02 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
22% Dem
Rep 78%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Patrick Halpin | 22% |
| Andrew Garbarino | 78% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 26% | 10/28/2026: 22% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 72% | 10/28/2026: 78% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Patrick Halpin | Democrat |
| Andrew Garbarino | Republican |