NJ-11 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Analilia Mejia | 96% |
| Joe Hathaway | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 89% | 10/28/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 10% | 10/28/2026: 2% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+17.0
Analilia Mejia (D)
53%
Joe Hathaway (R)
36%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Analilia Mejia | Democrat |
| Joe Hathaway | Republican |
| Alan B. Bond | Independent |
NJ-11 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Analilia Mejia 53%
Joe Hathaway 36%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Analilia Mejia | 53% | 1 | 3/10/2026 |
| Joe Hathaway | 36% | 1 | 3/10/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| GBAO | 3/8–3/10 | 500 LV |
Analilia Mejia (D)
Joe Hathaway (R)
|