MO-01 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
99% Dem
Rep 1%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Wesley Bell | 98% |
| Paul Berry | 1% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 92% | 10/28/2026: 98% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 4% | 10/28/2026: 1% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Wesley Bell (D)
44%
Cori Bush (D)
40%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Paul Berry | Republican |
| Wesley Bell | Democrat |
| Tom Schmitz | Libertarian |
MO-01 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Cori Bush 40%
Wesley Bell 44%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cori Bush | 40% | 1 | 2/23/2026 |
| Wesley Bell | 44% | 1 | 2/23/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIT Strategies | 2/19–2/23 | 401 LV |
Wesley Bell (D)
Cori Bush (D)
|