MI-13 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
99% Dem
Rep 1%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Donavan McKinney | 98% |
| T.P. Nykoriak | 1% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 96% | 10/28/2026: 98% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 4% | 10/28/2026: 1% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Shri Thanedar (D)
46%
Donavan McKinney (D)
42%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Donavan McKinney | Democrat |
| T.P. Nykoriak | Republican |
| Chris Dardzinski | Other |
| Raelyn Light | Green |
| Simone R. Coleman | Other |
MI-13 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Donavan McKinney 42%
Shri Thanedar 46%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donavan McKinney | 42% | 1 | 7/15/2026 |
| Shri Thanedar | 46% | 1 | 7/15/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress | 7/9–7/15 | 324 LV |
Shri Thanedar (D)
Donavan McKinney (D)
|