ME-01 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Chellie Pingree | 97% |
| Ronald Russell | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 92% | 10/28/2026: 97% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 8% | 10/28/2026: 2% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+22.0
Chellie Pingree (D)
57%
Ronald Russell (R)
35%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Chellie Pingree | Democrat |
| Ronald Russell | Republican |
ME-01 House race: polls over time
2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Ronald Russell 35%
Chellie Pingree 57%
Joshua Pietrowicz 7%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Russell | 35% | 2 | 9/21/2026 |
| Chellie Pingree | 57% | 1 | 9/21/2026 |
| Joshua Pietrowicz | 7% | 1 | 5/25/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | 9/17–9/21 | 657 LV |
Chellie Pingree (D)
Ronald Russell (R)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 5/21–5/25 | 185 LV |
Ronald Russell (R)
Joshua Pietrowicz (R)
|