MD-06 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
97% Dem
Rep 3%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | April McClain Delaney | 96% |
| Robin Ficker | 3% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 88% | 10/28/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 12% | 10/28/2026: 3% |
Poll average
5 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
April McClain Delaney (D)
45%
David J. Trone (D)
40.4%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| April McClain Delaney | Democrat |
| Robin Ficker | Republican |
| Moshe Y. Landman | Green |
MD-06 House race: polls over time
8 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
April McClain Delaney 45%
David J. Trone 41.7%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| April McClain Delaney | 45% | 8 | 6/11/2026 |
| David J. Trone | 41.7% | 8 | 6/11/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group | 6/8–6/11 | 500 LV |
David J. Trone (D)
April McClain Delaney (D)
|
| Hart Research Associates | 6/2–6/4 | 500 LV |
April McClain Delaney (D)
David J. Trone (D)
|
| Impact Research | 5/26–5/28 | 500 LV |
David J. Trone (D)
April McClain Delaney (D)
|
| Hart Research Associates | 5/16–5/18 | 500 LV |
April McClain Delaney (D)
David J. Trone (D)
|
| Impact Research | 5/11–5/14 | 500 LV |
David J. Trone (D)
April McClain Delaney (D)
|
| Hart Research Associates | 4/11–4/14 | 564 LV |
April McClain Delaney (D)
David J. Trone (D)
|
| Hart Research Associates | 3/16–3/21 | 500 LV |
April McClain Delaney (D)
David J. Trone (D)
|
| Hart Research Associates | 12/9–12/16 | 600 LV |
April McClain Delaney (D)
David J. Trone (D)
|