MD-01 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
16% Dem
Rep 84%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Dan Schwartz | 16% |
| Andy Harris | 84% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 18% | 10/28/2026: 16% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 76% | 10/28/2026: 84% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+13.0
Andy Harris (R)
52%
Dan Schwartz (D)
39%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Dan Schwartz | Democrat |
| Andy Harris | Republican |
MD-01 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Andy Harris 52%
Dan Schwartz 39%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Harris | 52% | 1 | 7/27/2026 |
| Dan Schwartz | 39% | 1 | 7/27/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Z to A Research | 7/23–7/27 | 482 LV |
Andy Harris (R)
Dan Schwartz (D)
|