MA-08 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Stephen Lynch | 96% |
| Robert Burke | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 93% | 10/28/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 6% | 10/28/2026: 2% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Stephen F. Lynch (D)
50%
Patrick Roath (D)
43%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Stephen F. Lynch | Democrat |
| Robert G. Burke | Republican |
| Rasheed Nicholas Walters | Independent |
MA-08 House race: polls over time
2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Patrick Roath 43%
Stephen F. Lynch 50%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Roath | 43% | 2 | 8/6/2026 |
| Stephen F. Lynch | 50% | 2 | 8/6/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Z to A Research | 8/5–8/6 | 469 LV |
Stephen F. Lynch (D)
Patrick Roath (D)
|
| Workbench Strategy | 2/17–2/19 | 400 LV |
Stephen F. Lynch (D)
Patrick Roath (D)
|