IA-02 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
70% Dem
Rep 30%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Lindsay James | 70% |
| Joe Mitchell | 30% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 58% | 10/28/2026: 70% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 42% | 10/28/2026: 30% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+3.0
Lindsay James (D)
50%
Joe Mitchell (R)
47%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Joe Mitchell | Republican |
| Lindsay James | Democrat |
| Rick Stewart | Libertarian |
| Dave Bushaw | Independent |
IA-02 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Joe Mitchell 47%
Lindsay James 50%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mitchell | 47% | 3 | 10/14/2026 |
| Lindsay James | 50% | 3 | 10/14/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 10/12–10/14 | 344 LV |
Joe Mitchell (R)
Lindsay James (D)
|
| Global Strategy Group | 7/14–7/19 | — LV |
Joe Mitchell (R)
Lindsay James (D)
|
| Public Policy Polling | 4/13–4/14 | 673 RV |
Lindsay James (D)
Joe Mitchell (R)
|