FL-28 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
6% Dem
Rep 94%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Phil Ehr | 6% |
| Carlos Giménez | 92% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 10% | 10/29/2026: 6% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 90% | 10/29/2026: 92% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+4.0
Carlos Giménez
46%
Rep
45%
Dem
41%
Hector Mujica
40%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Phil Ehr | Democrat |
| Carlos Giménez | Republican |
| Eddy Rojas | Independent |
FL-28 House race: polls over time
2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Carlos Giménez 46%
Dem 41%
Hector Mujica 40%
Rep 45%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Giménez | 46% | 1 | 3/7/2026 |
| Dem | 41% | 1 | 3/7/2026 |
| Hector Mujica | 40% | 1 | 3/7/2026 |
| Rep | 45% | 1 | 3/7/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MDW Communications | 3/3–3/7 | 514 LV |
Carlos Giménez
Hector Mujica
|
| MDW Communications | 3/3–3/7 | 514 LV |
Rep
Dem
|