FL-22 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
69% Dem
Rep 31%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Pia Dandiya | 69% |
| Casey Askar | 30% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 56% | 10/29/2026: 69% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 33% | 10/29/2026: 30% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · Tied
Pia Dandiya (D)
50%
Casey Askar (R)
31.6%
Belinda Keiser (R)
13.6%
Michale Carbonara (R)
11.4%
David Burck (R)
8.7%
Terri Hasdorff (R)
5.6%
Michael Thompson (R)
3.1%
Richard Evans (R)
2.9%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Casey Askar | Republican |
| Pia Dandiya | Democrat |
FL-22 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Belinda Keiser 13.6%
Casey Askar 31.6%
Pia Dandiya 50%
David Burck 8.7%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belinda Keiser | 13.6% | 2 | 8/6/2026 |
| Casey Askar | 31.6% | 2 | 8/12/2026 |
| Pia Dandiya | 50% | 2 | 8/12/2026 |
| David Burck | 8.7% | 1 | 8/6/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tavern Research | 8/10–8/12 | 551 LV |
Casey Askar (R)
Pia Dandiya (D)
|
| Victory Insights | 8/4–8/6 | — LV |
Belinda Keiser (R)
Casey Askar (R)
Michale Carbonara (R)
David Burck (R)
Terri Hasdorff (R)
Michael Thompson (R)
Richard Evans (R)
|
| GQR | 6/18–6/25 | 400 LV |
Belinda Keiser (R)
Pia Dandiya (D)
|