FL-13 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
29% Dem
Rep 71%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Leela Gray | 29% |
| Anna Paulina Luna | 72% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Leela Gray | 29% |
| Anna Paulina Luna | 72% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 28% | 10/28/2026: 29% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 26% | 10/28/2026: 29% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 73% | 10/28/2026: 72% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 74% | 10/28/2026: 72% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+1.0
Leela Gray (D)
47%
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
46%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Leela Gray | Democrat |
| Anna Paulina Luna | Republican |
| Tony D'Arrigo | Independent |
FL-13 House race: polls over time
6 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Anna Paulina Luna 46%
Leela Gray 47%
Tony D'Arrigo 7%
Tony D’Arrigo 4%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Paulina Luna | 46% | 6 | 10/15/2026 |
| Leela Gray | 47% | 6 | 10/15/2026 |
| Tony D'Arrigo | 7% | 1 | 8/27/2026 |
| Tony D’Arrigo | 4% | 1 | 8/6/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | 10/14–10/15 | 603 LV |
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
Leela Gray (D)
|
| Hart Research Associates | 8/25–8/27 | 500 LV |
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
Leela Gray (D)
Tony D'Arrigo
|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 8/4–8/6 | 400 LV |
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
Leela Gray (D)
|
| GQR | 8/4–8/6 | 500 LV |
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
Leela Gray (D)
Tony D’Arrigo (I)
|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 7/21–7/22 | 400 LV |
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
Leela Gray (D)
|
| Public Policy Polling | 5/19–5/20 | 616 RV |
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
Leela Gray (D)
|