FL-11 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
13% Dem
Rep 87%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | James Pericola | 13% |
| Joe Strada | 88% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 15% | 10/29/2026: 13% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 83% | 10/29/2026: 88% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+0.3
Joe Strada (R)
42.1%
James Pericola (D)
37.3%
Royal Webster (D)
7.1%
Dan Williams (D)
4.6%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| James Pericola | Democrat |
| Joe Strada | Republican |
| Ralph Groves | Libertarian |
FL-11 House race: polls over time
2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
James Pericola 37.4%
Dan Williams 4.6%
Joe Strada 42.1%
Royal Webster 7.1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Pericola | 37.4% | 2 | 7/30/2026 |
| Dan Williams | 4.6% | 1 | 7/30/2026 |
| Joe Strada | 42.1% | 1 | 7/30/2026 |
| Royal Webster | 7.1% | 1 | 7/30/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MDW Communications | 7/28–7/30 | 553 LV |
James Pericola (D)
Royal Webster (D)
Dan Williams (D)
|
| MDW Communications | 7/28–7/30 | 1,044 LV |
Joe Strada (R)
James Pericola (D)
|