CA-39 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
97% Dem
Rep 3%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Mark Takano | 97% |
| Steve Manos | 3% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 91% | 10/28/2026: 97% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 8% | 10/28/2026: 3% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Mark Takano | Democrat |
| Steve Manos | Republican |