CA-03 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
97% Dem
Rep 3%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Ami Bera | 96% |
| Robb Tucker | 2% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Ami Bera | 96% |
| Robb Tucker | 4% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 90% | 10/28/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 88% | 10/28/2026: 96% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 11% | 10/28/2026: 2% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 10% | 10/28/2026: 4% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Ami Bera | Democrat |
| Robb Tucker | Republican |